May 2025

What happens to mortgage rates with more trade deals?

What will happen to mortgage rates now that China and the U.S. have made progress in their trade war, agreeing to a 90-day period of lower tariffs? Stocks are up considerably this morning and bond yields have also increased. This raises the question: Is the de-escalation of the trade war good for mortgage rates? The […]

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Mortgage Rates Jump to 2 Week Highs After US/China Trade Talks

Tariffs and trade policy have been a new and important consideration for the bond market for just over a month now. That matters to mortgage rates because mortgage pricing is primarily determined by bond prices.   The reaction function for rates is a bit complicated at first glance because tariffs can exert influence in opposite directions.

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Most economists expect rate cuts after July

Economists surveyed by Wolters Kluwer remain solidly behind the notion that the Federal Open Market Committee will reduce short-term rates in 2025. Its May Blue Chip Economic Indicators report even included the possibility that the Fed could actually raise interest rates in 2025 based on comments made by Chairman Jerome Powell which the authors noted

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Feds accuse Trump adversary Letitia James of loan fraud

New York Attorney General and long-time legal adversary to Donald Trump Letitia James faces a federal grand jury investigation involving her role in multiple mortgage transactions, according to several news sources.  The investigation, which is being led by the Department of Justice and the FBI, revolves around fraud allegations made by Federal Housing Finance Agency

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U.S.-China tariff truce gives banks hope amid uncertainty

U.S.-China tariff truce gives banks hope amid uncertainty

Bloomberg News The U.S. and China have agreed to pause the bulk of their tariff policies against one another for 90 days, sending a jolt of optimism through the banking sector and its investors. The temporary truce was struck over the weekend and announced on Monday, causing stocks to rally and credit spreads to tighten

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Fed’s Kugler: Tariffs present stagflation-like pressure

Fed’s Kugler: Tariffs present stagflation-like pressure

Federal Reserve Gov. Adriana Kugler on Monday warned U.S. tariffs could propel higher inflation and curb economic growth.  While Kugler’s remarks — delivered at the International Economic Symposium in Dublin — argued that the U.S. economy had shown resilience up until now, she characterized the coming impact of tariffs as a negative supply shock that

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Trump’s CFPB rescinds 70 guidance and enforcement documents

Trump’s CFPB rescinds 70 guidance and enforcement documents

Acting Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director Russell Vought rescinded scores of guidance documents in a Federal Register notice scheduled for publication Monday.Bloomberg News The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is radically cutting enforcement by withdrawing nearly 70 guidance documents, citing President Trump’s mandate to eliminate regulations and reduce costs for businesses.  In a major change for

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Outdated mortgage tech is draining lenders: Here’s how to stop the bleeding

The lending playbook needs an overhaul  Let’s cut through the noise: The mortgage market isn’t changing; it’s already changed. Volatility is the norm, margins are squeezed within an inch of viability and borrowers expect a frictionless experience every time. If your entire business still revolves around purchase and refinance, you’re not just playing catch-up, you’re

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